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欢迎评论区留言,留下您的独到见解!2024年,可能爆发的三场战争,你想到了吗?原创2023-12-27 13:56·军机图俄乌冲突依然在继续,随着克里米亚半岛俄罗斯海军资产再次遭遇乌军的空中打击,相信不久后俄罗斯就可能对乌克兰发动大规模报复行动,无人机的空袭乃至海陆空导弹的组合式打击或将很快发生。而以色列和哈马斯之间的战争依然在继续。以色列依然朝着自己的既定目标向哈马斯发起围攻,目前的加沙城北部基本被以色列军队困住了,南部的汗尤尼斯地区也在加大空袭力度。外界一度认为以色列可能就是装装样子,现在看来,以色列的确是要消灭哈马斯,控制加沙,继而彻底清除来自加沙的威胁。哈马斯在孤立无援的背景下,和以色列对抗这么久也实属不易,然而, 在美国支持下,哈马斯无论如何也不可能打败以色列,双方实力过于悬殊。而在2024年,中东地区或许还将爆发三场战争。第一个可能爆发的冲突:叙利亚冲突经过长达十几年的内战和外部势力干预,目前阿萨德政权已经恢复对叙利亚70%的领土面积的控制,但其西南部长期被美军侵占,并以此为基地培训反政府武装人员。实际上除了在叙利亚西南部,在代尔祖尔美国也没有放弃势力存在。在叙利亚东部科尼科附近美国建造有自己的前哨基地。该地区靠近幼发拉底河,位于代尔祖尔市以东。而在代尔祖尔河的西岸,则活跃着伊朗有民兵,双方的对抗一直都有。叙利亚与伊朗、黎巴嫩真主党势力关系密切,三方基于维护自身安全的共同立场在反美、反以问题上协调一致,这可能导致在以色列同伊朗和真主党武装发生冲突的情况下,作为以色列盟友的美国为确保中东局势不出现“完全失控”的风险而在叙利亚挑起新的事端,以此作为干预中东局势的途径。第二个可能爆发的冲突:黎以冲突。以色列和黎巴嫩真主党长期敌对、并经常发生军事冲突,在加沙哈马斯发起“阿克萨洪水”行动以后,真主党武装也与以色列国防军持续交火,但目前仍然只局限在黎以边境地区。目前黎巴嫩国内社会问题蛰伏、真主党事实上取代黎巴嫩政府成为大部分地区的统治机关,而以色列则深陷加沙战事、军事力量难以抽身且损失不小,双方都有可能将当前的冲突扩大化、以此来缓解各自面临的国内压力。同时,黎巴嫩局势深受叙利亚局势影响,如果叙利亚再次爆发冲突,黎巴嫩遭到波及的可能性很大。第三个可能爆发的冲突:红海和波斯湾的海上冲突。由也门胡塞武装夺控以以色列为目的地的民船引起的海上安全形势变化,可能会造成中东地区前所未有的新形式安全问题。传统上中东地区的安全问题主要集中在阿拉伯半岛、基本不涉及海上安全问题,但目前胡塞武装(以及可能的西方指责的伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军)对西方商船的袭扰行动,已经让美国等国家派驻海军舰船进行“护航”,而这些西方舰船又成了胡塞和伊朗的新目标。双方的海上冲突一旦演进到舰船之间互相开火,中东地区的海上安全形势将向不可控方向发展。而美国方面已经表示,只要胡塞武装继续打击商船,美军不排除会袭击胡塞武装的导弹发射地。不得不说,现在的红海区域随时可能爆发大规模军事冲突。现在美国需要一场胜仗提升自己的区域威望,减轻以色列的区域压力。现在伊朗势力成为了对抗以色列和美国的关键部分,加上伊朗和沙特关系的缓和,现在让美国在中东的主导能力受到了挑战。对于美国而言,美国挑起战争的诉求越来越大。所以,在叙利亚或者红海方向,都可能是美国想要挑起事端的区域。而美国之所以不敢轻易挑起新的冲突,很大原因并不是美国不想,而是现在的俄乌冲突乌克兰一点好处也没捞到,所谓的夏季反攻已经实质上失败,而对于乌克兰的2024年军事援助,现在欧美还没有拿出具体方案。虽然泽连斯基前不久去了南美顺便去了美国,但是美国国会并没有批准对乌克兰的2024援助法案,这涉及数百亿美元的支持,对于乌克兰的命运而言具有决定性。如果美国不给乌克兰这么大数额的援助,乌克兰就不可能继续和俄罗斯抵抗。而美国不给乌克兰援助,那欧盟的援助也会十分有限。加上现在欧美对于打了快两年的俄乌冲突已经表现出疲惫不堪,俄乌冲突可能会加快结束或者规模再次扩大。因为一旦乌克兰支持不下去,俄罗斯的选择就有两个,一个是继续攻打乌克兰,控制乌克兰全境,另一种则是稳固目前的控制区,和乌克兰达成停火。

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7dechangqiyonghuzaishiyongshuzhouhou,liangzhedexuhangqishigeidaodechajumeiyouhenmingxian,zaibenrenxiguandeqingdushiyongxia,weichizai1tianbanzuoyou。dannagebantianshiweixiandezhuangkuang,yinweininashihouyaochongdian,caikeyichengdaobangwanxiabanhuijia。suoyiduiyudaduoshuzhongdushiyongdehua,yitianyichongyiranshijueduibiaozhundeshiqing,erzhongdushiyongdehua,kenengnidaoxiawuliuqidiandeshihou,dianliangjiuyijingjianhongliao。suoyiiPhone XshiyaoheiPhone 7/8chabuduodexuhangbiaoxian,keweijibenmeikandaoyoujinbu,bujiiPhone 7/8 Plus。zheyinggaiyuiPhone XsuiranyongdaokeyigengshengdiandeOLEDpingmu,danzaiUIshanggenbenmeiyoukaolvdaoshengdianyouguan,lingwaiFace IDyeshihaodiandedifang,tebieshijiesuoshidaduoshuyonghuzuipinfandecaozuo。xuhangwujinbu,chongdianfangmianiPhone Xtongyangwujinbu...zhishaozaibiaopeidechongdianqishanglaishuo。shide,zhebushoujiagengguideiPhone X,queyiranshibiaopeinage5V/1Adezuchuan5Wchongdianqi,zhekenengduiyuiPhone 7/8 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延安教育局的措辞以及处理结果引起了很多网友的不满

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